The Polls Have Shifted – University of Ghana Economist

07 Nov

Dr. George Domfe, a Development Economist at the University of Ghana, has shared his insightful analysis during an interview with Vim Lady on Okay FM, on the shifting dynamics of the political race ahead of the 2024 Elections.

“While many are eyeing John Dramani Mahama as a likely victor, the reality is that Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is gaining ground,” Dr. Domfe observed, noting that the polls tell a story of rising competition. “Bawumia currently leads with 47%, while Mahama has seen his support dip to 44%—a significant change from his earlier standing in the 50s.”

The latest survey results, particularly those from late October, highlight a dramatic turn in voter sentiment, especially in key regions like Greater Accra and Oti. “Just a few weeks ago, the NDC was riding high, but recent data shows a shift in favor of the NPP,” he remarked, emphasizing the unpredictable nature of this election cycle.

In a landscape where voter engagement is paramount, Dr. Domfe pointed to a trend that could spell trouble for the NDC. “We are witnessing some voters who initially opted out of participation now rallying behind Bawumia,” he explained, suggesting that the NPP has successfully tapped into a previously disengaged electorate.

Moreover, he highlighted the appeal of the NDC’s flagship 24-hour policy, which resonates strongly with voters yearning for immediate change. “This initiative is striking a chord,” he noted. “However, the NPP’s campaign seems to lack a compelling message beyond Bawumia’s digitalization agenda.”

With the election date looming, Dr. Domfe’s insights serve as a reminder that in politics, the tide can turn swiftly. “A tightly contested race is on the horizon, and every vote will matter,” he concluded.

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