In a dramatic turn of events leading up to Ghana’s 2024 General Election, new polling data from Global Info Analytics suggests there will be no runoff in the presidential race. The data, based on a 3-month moving average of over 150,000 voter interviews since January 2023, indicates that the front-runner is poised to secure a decisive victory in the first round.
Former President John Dramani Mahama (JDM) maintains a consistent lead, with his support averaging a solid 53% since April 2022. This steady figure, shown in the analysis, places him comfortably ahead of the other candidates, making it clear that he may clinch the presidency without the need for a second round.
Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia (DMB), the candidate representing the ruling New Patriotic Party, has seen fluctuating support, hovering between 32% and 38%. Despite this, he has not been able to close the gap with Mahama, whose support remains robust.
Interestingly, Alan Kyerematen (AKK) and the NKB group have also failed to make a significant impact, with support percentages barely climbing beyond the 10% mark. Alan Kyerematen, in particular, peaked at 10% in January 2024, but since then, his numbers have stagnated.
As the election draws closer, the polling data, derived from a sophisticated 3-month moving average, suggests Mahama’s dominance will hold firm. With no major shifts in voter sentiment, this could mark the first time in recent history that a candidate wins Ghana’s presidency outright without a runoff.
Political analysts are paying close attention to this trend, and the upcoming months will be crucial for all candidates hoping to sway voters before the final ballot. Could this data signal the end of the 2024 race, or are there surprises still to come? Only time will tell.
Source: m.dailyadvent.com
